Synthesising empirical results to improve predictions of post-wildfire runoff and erosion response.

Shakesby, R. A., Moody J.A., Martin D.A., Robichaud P.R. 2016. Synthesising empirical results to improve predictions of post-wildfire runoff and erosion response. International Journal of Wildland Fire 25(3), 257–261. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF16021

Keywords: ash, climate change, hydraulic conductivity, hydrology, overland flow, precipitation, scale

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Abstract: Advances in research into wildfire impacts on runoff and erosion have demonstrated increasing complexity of controlling factors and responses, which, combined with changing fire frequency, present challenges for modellers. We convened a conference attended by experts and practitioners in post-wildfire impacts, meteorology and related research, including modelling, to focus on priority research issues. The aim was to improve our understanding of controls and responses and the predictive capabilities of models. This conference led to the eight selected papers in this special issue. They address aspects of the distinctiveness in the controls and responses among wildfire regions, spatiotemporal rainfall variability, infiltration, runoff connectivity, debris flow formation and modelling applications. Here we summarise key findings from these papers and evaluate their contribution to improving understanding and prediction of post-wildfire runoff and erosion under changes in climate, human intervention and population pressure on wildfire-prone areas.

Moscow FSL publication no. 2016d